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So far the middle kingdom run by Godfather
Emperor Hu Jintao has stated their arm trade
with Sudan is only 8% of Sudanese military
expenditures. The other 92% are likely
European countries Russia , and Iran...
& Israel.?
http://www.time.com/time/specials/2007/personoftheyear/article/0,28804,1690753_1695388_1695753,00.html
The term president Bush uses is' genocide of Sudanese people....'
The cause for this conflict run deeper.
It's oil....Energy, the under developed
oil resources in Africa can keep USA running
for another two centuries. Unfortunately China
has roared ahead in Africa. oil corporations
such as chevron etc. were out bid by China...
particularly in Africa....
USA wanted Iraq to secure its supply and
survival. USA despite all its technical
advancement, without oil.... it's the
economy "stupid"....that would tumble...
America uses 20 million barrels per day
while China uses 7.6 million barrels.
So it's competition that will take these
2 nations head to,...head...? Or may be
the PNAC's line items.... will extend all
the way to Russia , China and Old Europe....?
To Africa and the Americas...Leaving the Kiwis ,
the Avocados farms, and sheep farms down
under to fend for themselves....?
America controls the Sea lanes, so it
could in theory block China's main
Energy Sea Routes, lanes and highways....
So to counter this problem, China is
completing/planning/contemplating...new
energy pipelines from Russia , central
Asia,Iran...?.
In this century, it is the energy 'wars' that
will start in two places central Asia with
large gas, oil reserves for sale at 100$ per
barrel.
In African countries which have oil such Chad,
Sudan,Libya Nigeria,Ghana,Angola,Namibia. the
Middle East and Central Asia regions process
high grade Gas/oil.
USA imports about 2/3 of it's oil needs...
while China imports at this stage 1/4 ,
which will increase to 1/2.. the Asians want
to live the good comfortable life... so more
demand for Oil and Gas, exponentially...
So will the proposed pipes from central
Asia running through Afghanistan materialize?
http://portfocus.com/turkey/ceyhan/index.html
Just like the Azerbaijan Baku to Ceyhan /Turkey
pipes are now operational....?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan_pipeline
Iraq has about 6$ trillion worth of oil
which is now securely under USA occupation/
control. USA has also built several bases
in Iraq and revamped existing bases in
Afghanistan. All bases are well equipped to
deter potential foes such as Iran, china or
Russia....
OPEC is slowly pushing for diverse "oil $"
currency, away from the Petro Dollars...
We know USA prints so much of this $,
so other stupid countries use it to buy oil
from Saudi Arabia etc.
I.e. if you buy a Honda from the Japanese
in $ , the japes' buy Russian or Saudi oil
with your $, and the Saudi use that same
$ to buy American goods.... and the cycle
begins again...? for how long?
Where is this heading...? China and USA
are on a collision course... Neither is
prepared to share... Energy supplies/
resources or its various traditional
transportation routes.... which require
a "Tax" for the USA PIMPS.... who are
DEMANDING a Ransom from all parties....
for decades to come, "they Think"....
by positioning the US NAVY, AF, etc. at
the crux of the transportation routes of
Energy.....worldwide. Oil/Gas.
"Energy is the economy" without a stable
supply neither country can break down...?
China's communists are "good capitalists". ....
The "old order" states, that :
"whomever has the Highest Alter, he will surely be the victor....."
“Its all about oil” In the early 70s, the US was 35% dependent upon foreign oil inputs. Today, it has grown to over 55% dependency. Why? Cheaper oil recovery in the Middle East, Nigeria, Russia, Venezuela, and other places. During the same time period, oil refineries in the US have been cut in-half. Additionally, since Three Mile event, US utilities have focused on the construction of lower cost natural gas Peaking unit power plants so they could maximize their profits. Now, the US is out of natural gas, exporting it, and attempting like crazy to develop new fields in Texas and Pennsylvania.
When the world demand for oil has significantly increased beyond existing supplies, mostly due to the US, an expanding China, and Southeast Asia, there is little wonder that existing supplies will not be sufficient to meet demands until about 2025. Meanwhile, The US must pursue new technologies, new resources, reignite the nuclear power option, promote conservation and development of green energy and because we as a crises management nation have put us behind the energy/GDP curve, there is no other choice but to provide security of our existing supply lines (I.e., providing for a stable middle East environment).
We have spent what will amount to $2 trillion and 4,000 lives, 30,000 casualties, and afflicted 34-40% of our men with PTSD so we could control $30 trillion worth of Anbar oil and the oil sheikhdoms in the region. All hell will break lose if we lose, Iran and the Chinese will move it, and we lose control of all that oil just as supplies are peaking..... What was the purpose of all this sacrifice if we bug out??!?!!!!
However, US policy must not ignore other world areas which can effect the strength of the US economy, trade, standard of living, and strength of the dollar related to other foreign currencies.
Whether we rise or fall; energy related country’s GDPs provide the nurturing environment for democracy, stability, and embetterment of the standard of living and living conditions.
The TONE of American leadership is VITALLY important. Under George Bush’s false claims and abrasive discursive diplomacy world-wide, America’s credibility has been severely damaged. The esteem America has earned over the years is a necessary diplomatic tool in terms of American adherence to international law and international institutionalism; a pseudo-hegemonic America under the Neocon flag breeds distrust and sews dissension around the world. A proactive foreign policy guided by true power sharing enhances the image of a benign hegemon. Since Russia is quickly erasing the unipolar image of America in a sea of petro dollars, unilateralism, never a reliable diplomatic tool, is losing all currency as well as relevancy in the current globalized international economy.The Bush Doctrine was ill-conceived and extremely reactionary in the current interdependent political environment. 9/11 was tragic but it does not advocate for a myopic approach to international relations.
“Its all about Oil/Gas, Energy...Economy, "organized Dis-orderly... ORDER, of the "New World Order”.....
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Tibet, the 'great game' and the CIA....
One more front in the Dis-orderly... ORDER, of the "New World Order”...
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Given the historical context of the unrest in Tibet, there is reason to believe Beijing was caught on the hop with the recent demonstrations for the simple reason that their planning took place outside of Tibet and that the direction of the protesters is similarly in the hands of anti-Chinese organizers safely out of reach in Nepal and northern India...
Similarly, the funding and overall control of the unrest has also been linked to Tibetan spiritual leader the Dalai Lama, and by inference to the US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) because of his close cooperation with US intelligence for over 50 years.
Indeed, with the CIA's deep involvement with the Free Tibet Movement and its funding of the suspiciously well-informed Radio Free Asia, it would seem somewhat unlikely that any revolt could have been planned or occurred without the prior knowledge, and even perhaps the agreement, of the National Clandestine Service (formerly known as the Directorate of Operations) at CIA headquarters in Langley....
Respected columnist and former senior Indian Intelligence officer, B Raman, commented on March 21 that "on the basis of available evidence, it was possible to assess with a reasonable measure of conviction" that the initial uprising in Lhasa on March 14 "had been pre-planned and well orchestrated".
Could there be a factual basis to the suggestion that the main beneficiaries to the death and destruction sweeping Tibet are in Washington? History would suggest that this is a distinct possibility.
The CIA conducted a large scale covert action campaign against the communist Chinese in Tibet starting in 1956. This led to a disastrous bloody uprising in 1959, leaving tens of thousands of Tibetans dead, while the Dalai Lama and about 100,000 followers were forced to flee across the treacherous Himalayan passes to India and Nepal.
The CIA established a secret military training camp for the Dalai Lama's resistance fighters at Camp Hale near Leadville, Colorado, in the US. The Tibetan guerrillas were trained and equipped by the CIA for guerrilla warfare and sabotage operations against the communist Chinese.
The US-trained guerrillas regularly carried out raids into Tibet, on occasions led by CIA-contract mercenaries and supported by CIA planes. The initial training program ended in December 1961, though the camp in Colorado appears to have remained open until at least 1966.
The CIA Tibetan Task Force created by Roger E McCarthy, alongside the Tibetan guerrilla army, continued the operation codenamed "St Circus" to harass the Chinese occupation forces for another 15 years until 1974, when officially sanctioned involvement ceased.
McCarthy, who also served as head of the Tibet Task Force at the height of its activities from 1959 until 1961, later went on to run similar operations in Vietnam and Laos.
By the mid-1960s, the CIA had switched its strategy from parachuting guerrilla fighters and intelligence agents into Tibet to establishing the Chusi Gangdruk, a guerrilla army of some 2,000 ethnic Khamba fighters at bases such as Mustang in Nepal.
This base was only closed down in 1974 by the Nepalese government after being put under tremendous pressure by Beijing.
After the Indo-China War of 1962, the CIA developed a close relationship with the Indian intelligence services in both training and supplying agents in Tibet.
Kenneth Conboy and James Morrison in their book The CIA's Secret War in Tibet disclose that the CIA and the Indian intelligence services cooperated in the training and equipping of Tibetan agents and special forces troops and in forming joint aerial and intelligence units such as the Aviation Research Center and Special Center.
This collaboration continued well into the 1970s and some of the programs that it sponsored, especially the special forces unit of Tibetan refugees which would become an important part of the Indian Special Frontier Force, continue into the present.
Only the deterioration in relations with India which coincided with improvements in those with Beijing brought most of the joint CIA-Indian operations to an end.
Though Washington had been scaling back support for the Tibetan guerrillas since 1968, it is thought that the end of official US backing for the resistance only came during meetings between president Richard Nixon and the Chinese communist leadership in Beijing in February 1972.
Victor Marchetti, a former CIA officer has described the outrage many field agents felt when Washington finally pulled the plug, adding that a number even "[turned] for solace to the Tibetan prayers which they had learned during their years with the Dalai Lama".
The former CIA Tibetan Task Force chief from 1958 to 1965, John Kenneth Knaus, has been quoted as saying, "This was not some CIA black-bag operation." He added, "The initiative was coming from ... the entire US government."
In his book Orphans of the Cold War, Knaus writes of the obligation Americans feel toward the cause of Tibetan independence from China. Significantly, he adds that its realization "would validate the more worthy motives of we who tried to help them achieve this goal over 40 years ago. It would also alleviate the guilt some of us feel over our participation in these efforts, which cost others their lives, but which were the prime adventure of our own."
Despite the lack of official support it is still widely rumored that the CIA were involved, if only by proxy, in another failed revolt in October 1987, the unrest that followed and the consequent Chinese repression continuing till May 1993.
The timing for another serious attempt to destabilize Chinese rule in Tibet would appear to be right for the CIA and Langley will undoubtedly keep all its options open.
China is faced with significant problems, with the Uighur Muslims in Xinjiang province; the activities of the Falun Gong among many other dissident groups and of course growing concern over the security of the Summer Olympic Games in August.
China is viewed by Washington as a major threat, both economic and military, not just in Asia, but in Africa and Latin America as well.
The CIA also views China as being "unhelpful" in the "war on terror", with little or no cooperation being offered and nothing positive being done to stop the flow of arms and men from Muslim areas of western China to support Islamic extremist movements in Afghanistan and Central Asian states.
To many in Washington, this may seem the ideal opportunity to knock the Beijing government off balance as Tibet is still seen as China's potential weak spot.
The CIA will undoubtedly ensure that its fingerprints are not discovered all over this growing revolt. Cut-outs and proxies will be used among the Tibetan exiles in Nepal and India's northern border areas.
Indeed, the CIA can expect a significant level of support from a number of security organizations in both India and Nepal and will have no trouble in providing the resistance movement with advice, money and above all, publicity.
However, not until the unrest shows any genuine signs of becoming an open revolt by the great mass of ethnic Tibetans against the Han Chinese and Hui Muslims will any weapons be allowed to appear.
Large quantities of former Eastern bloc small arms and explosives have been reportedly smuggled into Tibet over the past 30 years, but these are likely to remain safely hidden until the right opportunity presents itself.
The weapons have been acquired on the world markets or from stocks captured by US or Israeli forces. They have been sanitized and are deniable, untraceable back to the CIA.
Weapons of this nature also have the advantage of being interchangeable with those used by the Chinese armed forces and of course use the same ammunition, easing the problem of resupply during any future conflict.
Though official support for the Tibetan resistance ended 30 years ago, the CIA has kept open its lines of communications and still funds much of the Tibetan Freedom movement.
So is the CIA once again playing the "great game" in Tibet?
It certainly has the capability, with a significant intelligence and paramilitary presence in the region. Major bases exist in Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan and several Central Asian states.
It cannot be doubted that it has an interest in undermining China, as well as the more obvious target of Iran.
So the probable answer is yes, and indeed it would be rather surprising if the CIA was not taking more than just a passing interest in Tibet. That is after all what it is paid to do.
Since September 11, 2001, there has been a sea-change in US Intelligence attitudes, requirements and capabilities. Old operational plans have been dusted off and updated. Previous assets re-activated. Tibet and the perceived weakness of China's position there will probably have been fully reassessed.
For Washington and the CIA, this may seem a heaven-sent opportunity to create a significant lever against Beijing, with little risk to American interests; simply a win-win situation.
The Chinese government would be on the receiving end of worldwide condemnation for its continuing repression and violation of human rights and it will be young Tibetans dying on the streets of Lhasa rather than yet more uniformed American kids.
The consequences of any open revolt against Beijing, however, are that once again the fear of arrest, torture and even execution will pervade every corner of both Tibet and those neighboring provinces where large Tibetan populations exist, such as Gansu, Qinghai and Sichuan.
And the Tibetan Freedom movement still has little likelihood of achieving any significant improvement in central Chinese policy in the long run and no chance whatever of removing its control of Lhasa and their homeland.
Once again it would appear that the Tibetan people will find themselves trapped between an oppressive Beijing and a manipulative Washington.
Beijing sends in the heavies...
The fear that the United States, Britain and other Western states may try to portray Tibet as another Kosovo may be part of the reason why the Chinese authorities reacted as if faced with a genuine mass revolt rather than their official portrayal of a short-lived outbreak of unrest by malcontents supporting the Dalai Lama.
Indeed, so seriously did Beijing view the situation that a special security coordination unit, the 110 Command Center, has been established in Lhasa with the primary objective of suppressing the disturbances and restoring full central government control.
The center appears to be under the direct control of Zhang Qingli, first secretary of the Tibet Party and a President Hu Jintao loyalist. Zhang is also the former Xinjiang deputy party secretary with considerable experience in counter-terrorism operations in that region.
Others holding important positions in Lhasa are Zhang Xinfeng, vice minister of the Central Public Security Ministry and Zhen Yi, deputy commander of the People's Armed Police Headquarters in Beijing.
The seriousness with which Beijing is treating the present unrest is further illustrated by the deployment of a large number of important army units from the Chengdu Military Region, including brigades from the 149th Mechanized Infantry Division, which acts as the region's rapid reaction force.
According to a United Press International report, elite ground force units of the People's Liberation Army were involved in Lhasa, and the new T-90 armored personnel carrier and T-92 wheeled armored vehicles were deployed. According to the report, China has denied the participation of the army in the crackdown, saying it was carried out by units of the armed police. "Such equipment as mentioned above has never been deployed by China's armed police, however."
Air support is provided by the 2nd Army Aviation Regiment, based at Fenghuangshan, Chengdu, in Sichuan province. It operates a mix of helicopters and STOL transports from a frontline base near Lhasa. Combat air support could be quickly made available from fighter ground attack squadrons based within the Chengdu region.
The Xizang Military District forms the Tibet garrison, which has two mountain infantry units; the 52nd Brigade based at Linzhi and the 53rd Brigade at Yaoxian Shannxi. These are supported by the 8th Motorized Infantry Division and an artillery brigade at Shawan, Xinjiang.
Tibet is also no longer quite as remote or difficult to resupply for the Chinese army. The construction of the first railway between 2001 and 2007 has significantly eased the problems of the movement of large numbers of troops and equipment from Qinghai onto the rugged Tibetan plateau.
Other precautions against a resumption of the long-term Tibetan revolts of previous years has led to a considerable degree of self-sufficiency in logistics and vehicle repair by the Tibetan garrison and an increasing number of small airfields have been built to allow rapid-reaction units to gain access to even the most remote areas.
The Chinese Security Ministry and intelligence services had been thought to have a suffocating presence in the province and indeed the ability to detect any serious protest movement and suppress resistance.
